Oil edges over $115 a barrel
SINGAPORE (AP) — Oil prices moved above USD 115 a barrel Monday as the U.S. bucks lost some ground against the euro and the Japanese yen, making commodities more attractive to investors.
The conflict in Georgia is still influencing oil prices.
By midday in Europe, light, sweet crude for October delivery was up 63 cents to USD 115.22 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract tumbled USD 6.59 on Friday to settle at USD 114.59 a barrel.
In London, October Brent crude was up 74 cents to USD 114.66 on the ICE Futures exchange.
Analysts said this week — with U.S. markets closed Friday for the Labor Day holiday — would likely be characterized by volatile prices and low trading volumes.
“In the process of trading up and down dramatically, last week, it has become clear that only one factor really matters right now,” said analysts at U.S. energy consultancy Cameron Hanover. “That’s the bucks.”
In a daily market report, Cameron Hanover said oil fundamentals and just about every other factor influencing prices seemed to have taken a back seat to the bucks.
It would take something like a direct hit by a hurricane on oil facilities “to unhook oil from the U.S. currency,” the report said. “Big-money investors have turned oil into a proxy for the U.S. bucks.”
Unresolved tensions between the U.S. and Russia over the conflict in Georgia caused concerns about supplies in the region and continued to lend support to oil prices, as investors speculate whether oil-rich Russia will use supplies to punish the West.
Russia pulled the bulk of its troops and tanks out Friday under an cease-fire agreement, but built up its forces in and around South Ossetia and Abkhazia, another separatist region. They also left other military posts at locations inside Georgia proper.
A U.S. Navy destroyer loaded with humanitarian aid reached Georgia’s Black Sea port of Batumi on Sunday, a move that a Russian general suggested would worsen tensions between the former Cold War foes.
Despite the conflict, some analysts said energy flows from Russia to the West were safe.
“We continue to see little chance for oil to be used by Russia as a bargaining tool,” said Olivier Jakob of Petromatrix in Switzerland. “Oil is the weapon of last resort, not of first resort … and it would make no sense for Russia to limit exports of crude or products to European countries.”
After gaining early in the session, the U.S. bucks lost ground to the euro and the Japanese yen on Monday.
By midday in Europe, the euro was up at USD 1.4764 from USD 1.4745 in morning European trading, but still down a step from USD 1.4775 late Friday in New York.
The bucks also fell a bit against the Japanese currency, buying 109.84 yen, down from the 110.03 late Friday in New York.
A falling bucks encourages investors to buy crude oil and other commodities as a hedge against inflation and weakness in the U.S. currency.
In other Nymex trading, heating oil futures rose 2.72 cents to USD 3.1583 a gallon, while gasoline prices gained 1.84 cent to USD 2.887 a gallon. Natural gas futures increased 2.2 cents to USD 7.865 per 1,000 cubic feet.
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